|
Don Geddis
|
| Dates | Position | Location |
|---|---|---|
| 2002-now | Unemployed | S.F. peninsula, CA |
| 2001-2002 2000-2001 | VP of R & D VP of Technology, Shopping | Overture GoTo.com |
| 1999-2000 1996-1999 | Founder | Cadabra Tesserae Info Sys |
| 1987-1995 | Ph.D. (and Master's) in Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science | Stanford University |
| 1984-1987 | B.S., Computer Science | Stanford University |
|  |
|
Bets
Inspired by LongBets.Org, and Julian Simon's 1980 bet with Paul Ehrlich on the future price of five metals.
Related efforts include PredictionBook.com and The Good Judgment Project.
I find it useful -- when people have a strong disagreement in their predictions about future world events -- to quantify the confidence of their assertions by associating it with hard cash. If nothing else, it causes all parties to take stock of what they actually believed at the time, and then avoid various kinds of experimental bias by actually following through to see what the outcome turns out to be.
Open Bets
Go #2b (5/28/2010). Dusty Leary continues his challenge of writing a Go program to play against Will Harvey. There will be three events, with $100 stakes on each game.
Peak Oil (4/15/2008). Between 2008 and the year 2030, if the world's annual production of crude oil ever meets or exceeds an average of 75 MBD, then Win Ark wins. If the annual crude oil production between 2008-2030 is always less than 75 MBD average, then Don wins. Stakes: the monetary equivalent of the closing price of a barrel of US Texas crude oil at the end of the year when the bet terminates. More details.
Go (12/23/2003). I have entered into a lifetime, biannual, man-vs-machine bet against Scott Roy, on the game of Go. I'm not very good at Go. But others are worse.
Completed Bets
Full details are available for for summary below.
Date Event Opponent Stakes Outcome 5/15/2011 Submission grappling: Geddis vs. Harvey Will Harvey $2 ($200) Win (x2) 5/28/2010 Go #2 (man vs. machine) Dusty Leary $100 Win (x2) 5/8/2010 UFC 113: Lyoto Machida vs. Shogun (II) Win Ark Truffles Win 1/31/2009 UFC 94: BJ Penn vs. Georges St. Pierre Win Ark $1 Win 5/24/2008 UFC 84: Tito vs. Lyoto Win Ark Espresso Loss 4/24/2008 Obama wins election Bill Mahoney $100 Win 4/14/2007 Bodog: Fedor vs. Lindland "Dude" & Arash $70 Win 12/30/2006 UFC 66: Liddell vs. Ortiz Arash $50 Win 11/18/2006 UFC 65: Hughes vs. GSP Batata $50 Win 5/27/2006 UFC 60: Hughes vs. Royce Arash & Batata $100 Win 9/22/2005 Efficient markets Win Ark Photo Win 12/23/2003 Go (man vs. machine) Scott Roy $180 Win (x18) 4/2002 Overture/Google patent Narinder Singh $25 Loss
Open Source | ANSI Common Lisp | |
| Asciify | Convert a string with European accented characters, into "equivalent" 7-bit ASCII (A-Z,a-z). | |
| Grid | Make a blank grid suitable for crossword or cross-sum puzzles, with typical symmetry and connectiveness. | |
| URL | Topic | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| don.geddis.org | Don Geddis | My personal home page |
| reef.geddis.org | Saltwater reef aquarium | Photos & video from home aquarium |
| jujitsu.geddis.org | Aiki Jujitsu | Archive of my last version |
| bjj.geddis.org | Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu | Archive of my last version |
| URL | Topic | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| bjj.org | Gracie and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu | Jan 15 1996 - Sept 5 2006 (10+ years) |
| jujitsu.stanford.edu | Aiki Jujitsu at Stanford | Founding webmaster, mid 1990's |
| rickson.com | Rickson Gracie | Founding webmaster, mid 1990's |
| ralphgracie.com | Ralph Gracie | Founding webmaster, mid 1990's |
| www.doubleudoubleudoubleudotcom.com | Nothing, really | OK, this one was a joke |
| webmaster@geddis.org | For encrypted email, use my PGP Public Key. | Last updated 12/15/11 |